View Full Version : Dropchance estimation of Rare, Rare GA, Legendary Souls

05-07-2017, 09:35 PM
Hey everyone,
Remember that Dropchance Estimation of Premium Characters (http://forum.ironmaidenlegacy.com/showthread.php?2143-Dropchance-Estimation-of-Premium-Characters) thread from way back in October?
I decided it might be nice to do that again, but also test that for Legendary Souls and Rare Gunner/Assassin Souls. And add all the Rare Souls I spent since October to the data Slauki's compiled.
The Legendary Soul data is compiled from the Legendary Soul thread (http://forum.ironmaidenlegacy.com/showthread.php?958-Legendary-Shard-what-did-you-get), and the Rare GA data is compiled from the Day 24 Rare GA (http://forum.ironmaidenlegacy.com/showthread.php?4374-Day-24-rare-gun-assassin-soul) thread with my tracked GA drops (41 of em) added in.

Credit to Slauki for the inspiration and allowing me to use his old data

Here's what I found for Rare Souls
The old 10% rule seems to mostly hold up. As expected.

Here are the results for Rare Gunner/Assassin Souls
Again the 10% rule, but a bit more positively skewed. Interesting, because until recently I had never gotten a premium character from these.

Here are the results for Legendary Souls
Ouch. 13% of getting a 5* is not something I ever expected. With a name like 'Legendary Soul' I would have expected anywhere between 20-33% maybe, but wow.
I also thought it interesting to track the amount of times GA characters drop from the Legendary Souls, because I would call them better pulls than WSM characters. The reason being that people generally acquire way more Rare Souls than Rare GA Souls. Though if every class has a 20% dropchance, 27% is still quite low for them.

I hope you all find this interesting! And sorry for only getting this ready after the Sacrifice event (aka when everyone's blown through all their souls by now)

05-07-2017, 10:38 PM
Interesting stuff Kardas, thanks for putting this data together. For the price/rarity you would expect a bit better chance at a 5* character, but I suppose if it was easy to get 5* characters we would have them all by now and the thrill of opening souls would be gone...

05-08-2017, 01:57 AM
Really interesting stuff. It would almost make sense to make Legendary souls more rare - but improve the chances of getting a 5*.

13% kind of stinks...

Great stuff as always. Thanks for posting!

07-22-2017, 03:49 AM
Nice post Kardas, I concur with the 10% estimate, it has been my experience as well that out of 10 rare souls one will be red eyes in average thanks.