Dropchance Estimation For Immortal Fragments

[druid138]

First refill done.

11 runs at LoL X got me 45 fragments. I got 35 from the first 3 runs, but only 10 from the last 8.

The 10 free fragments in the Store were nice.

1200 Ironite for 250 fragments. That amount of Ironite buys 40 refills . . .

druid138-6195

[Rodrigo-3281]

One refill down. I tried 2x in LOL X and got nothing. Did the rest on LOX IX and got 80 total fragments.

[Tritium]

First 10 runs of LoL VII netted me 70 fragments. I'm keeping a spreadsheet of my results so far.

[slauki]

first numbers are out guys, seems very promising so far will update every 30-45 minutes check the starting post

BTW you can post refills or rounds you have played will convert 11 rounts to one refill...

[Tritium]

BTW you can post refills or rounds you have played will convert 11 rounts to one refill...

Oh, if that's the case, then put me down for 11 rounds (one refill) at LoL VII (7) netted me 75 fragments total.

[Coletrain]

Alrighty, here are some numbers from my first run through:

Level X
Refills: 1+ (I had daily reward SoT carry over)
Fragments: 70
Average: 70 per refill

Considering I had more than a full refill in SoT to start, I wanted to include an additional number. I did 13 battles of LoL X, so the Average Per Battle is 5.384615385 Immortal Soul Fragments. Seems like a decent rate of return to me.

Another thing I wanted to consider was the cost of the Immortal Fragment Pack in the store. It's 1200 Ironite for 250 Immortal Fragments + 3 Precious Souls. Discounting the addition of Precious Souls, how does purchasing the pack stack up against using that Ironite on Sands of Time & earning the fragments via LoL? Here's how I looked at it:

-With that 1200 Ironite, you can buy 40 refills of Sands of Time
-With that 40 refills, you have 3200 Sands of Time
-With that 3200 Sands of Time (not accounting for Sands accrued at the end of a battle), you can complete 400 rounds of LoL X
-Assuming average rate of return, 400 rounds of LoL X will net you 2153.846154 Immortal Soul Fragments (this is based on my Average Per Battle Number)

All in all, it looks like plowing through LoL X will provide the best rate of return vs purchasing the pack, if you have the time to do it. That said, if I have the chance to get another Immortal Soul towards the end of the event, I may buy it.

EDIT: Looking at other numbers, it looks like most levels of LoL are providing decent return. For those that didn't do LoL X, how many per instance were you netting? I got 10 fragments sometimes, 15 fragments a few times as well.

[Tritium]

Awesome analysis, Coletrain! I figured the 1200 ironite pack wasn't worth it if you have spare time to kill with refills. For the busy players, it certainly is an option.

[slauki]

btw please post new comments for new numbers, otherwise it will be hard to follow...

[druid138]

First refill done.

11 runs at LoL X got me 45 fragments. I got 35 from the first 3 runs, but only 10 from the last 8.

The 10 free fragments in the Store were nice.

1200 Ironite for 250 fragments. That amount of Ironite buys 40 refills . . .

druid138-6195

Second refill done.

11 runs at LoL X got me 50 fragments.

Others seem to be having better luck than me so far. I'm doing the spreadsheet thing too. My wife thinks I've lost my mind.

druid138-6195

[RCarter]

10 runs through LoL X=45 frags.